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  • Will Trump’s tariff chaos be China’s gain in global trade wars?

    As China retaliates against tariffs, it is also making strategic manoeuvres on EU and Asia to maximise opportunities

    On the basis of Napoleon’s dictum “never interrupt your enemy while they are making a mistake”, there was a large incentive for China to do precisely nothing as Donald Trump displayed his determination to lose friends and induce market panic. Indeed, the Chinese advocates of passivity cited a social media meme attributed to President Xi Xinping: “Do nothing. Win.”

    Initially it was tempting for China to sit back and watch the US’s former allies recoil at Trump’s disruptive war on globalisation and let them realise that,by comparison, China represented an oasis of stability, modernity and predictability.

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  • How Trump tariffs could push Vietnam into the arms of China

    The move has sent shockwaves through a region of US strategic importance that had respected Trump as tough on Beijing

    Vietnam had tried to appease Donald Trump: tariffs on US goods were reduced; regulations were passed to allow Elon Musk’s SpaceX to launch its Starlink in the country. The prime minister, Pham Minh Chinh, even joked in January that he would happily “play golf all day long” at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Florida if it could “bring benefits to my country and my people”.

    The strategies do not appear to have worked. Trump has inflicted an extraordinary 46% tariff on Vietnam that threatens to devastate its economic growth plans and undermine relations between the two countries. The tariff has sent shockwaves through Vietnam, a manufacturing powerhouse where Trump has always been fairly popular, and across south-east Asia.

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  • Trump tariffs come into effect in ‘seismic’ shift to global trade

    ‘Baseline’ 10% import levy takes effect at US seaports, airports and customs warehouses, with some higher tariffs to begin next week

    Donald Trump’s 10% tariff on all imports from many countries, including the UK, has come into force after 48 hours of turmoil.

    US customs agents began collecting the unilateral tariff at US seaports, airports and customs warehouses on Saturday, with higher levies on goods from 57 larger trading partners due to start next week – including from the EU, which will be hit with a 20% rate.

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